The outbreak of COVID-19 is being referred to as a “once in a century event” and has heightened uncertainty for many companies which have to deal with the prospect of a significant drop in their cash flows. The longer the pandemic persists, greater the risks as leveraged businesses might find it hard to service the debt or access credit.
On July 31, 2020, the Nifty Pharma index has hit a 52-week high levels. This no doubt gives us great satisfaction considering that the Pharmaceutical sector is the largest overweight sector position in UTI Value Opportunities Fund (the Fund). Even as many of our portfolio companies were battered by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, this index has bounced nearly 79% from its low in Mar-2020.
As the fund manager of UTI Value Opportunities Fund, I often wonder if it would be more palatable to many investors if we called the fund ‘UTI Opportunities Fund’ (as it was once called) because the word ‘Value’ in the name of the fund has become unappealing to some.
In the Ramayana; Kumbhakarna is described as having been cursed to sleep for 6 months at a time. If only we investors had the same ability. If we had fallen asleep at the end of February 2020 and then woken up at the end of August 2020, it would appear that nothing much had happened. After all the Nifty 50 closed at 11201 at the end of February 2020 and at the end of August 2020 it was only marginally changed at 11387.
Create wealth by smartly managing risks
This is a regular question that I get asked at meetings with investors and mutual fund distributors. It is even more common today as markets have moved up to a record high and valuations have pushed significantly higher. This question presupposes that I have the skills to discern the risks in the market. Blessed as I am with a worrying & skeptical nature, I see risks all the time. But, the problem with risk is that the biggest and market disrupting risks are those that I cannot see. Worse they are the unknown unknowns.
Value Investing is dead was the oft repeated conclusion of investors who were being fed by commentaries of the investing community in early 2020. The conclusion was backed by not only short term performance data of 1 to 3 years performance but even looking at performance data of longer period of 10 years of value as style as compared to growth.
The investment horizon plays a vital role in investing. Talking specifically about mutual fund schemes, equity mutual funds may be more suitable for long-term financial goals. Equities may be volatile over the short term but carry the potential of wealth creation over the long term.
Not all asset classes have been winners consistently in the investing world since different asset classes may react differently to macroeconomic events. As such, asset classes like equities, debt, gold, real estate etc., tend to perform in their respective economic cycles.
While equities may perform better during periods of high economic growth, debt may perform better during periods of decreasing interest rate scenario. Similarly, gold may be a better performer when asset classes like equity and debt seem volatile and uncertain, as gold is considered a safer investment option.
When investing in mutual funds, one must choose the mutual fund schemes that best suit their financial goals and risk appetite. In addition, selecting the equity investments basis their market capitalisation is one of the selection criteria, as different market cap segments carry different risk-reward trade-offs.
