As we head into 2019 the question I am asked most often is “What is my view of the elections and how it will impact the market”.
To this, my preferred answer is: ‘I don’t know’.
It is generally believed that economic growth is good for the stock returns. This belief holds that there is a positive correlation relation between the real economy and capital markets. Therefore it should make sense to invest in stocks of countries where the economy is stable and which has strong growth prospects.
Election 2019 is underway and even as the summer heat is yet to pick up, the heat and dust of electioneering are raising the temperature. It is a good time to pause and think about the challenges and opportunities that would face the incoming government.
Capex cycle is one of the most important economic trends one needs to track in the macro space as it is a critical ingredient in order to achieve a higher trajectory of economic growth in later years. Making capex decisions are usually very complex.
While there is no text-book definition
Investment in Equities is the vehicle to participate in the long-term India growth story. Investment in Index fund is the simplest way to invest in Equities and can be core part of Equity allocation due to simplicity of investment and low cost.
In order to move forward you have to look back – Matt Maher.
Benjamin Graham, one of the early followers of fundamental analysis based investing and also Warren Buffett’s professor, had propounded the concept of Mr. Market way back in the nineteen forties to describe the contradictory and irrational traits of investors. Graham described Mr. Market as an investor prone to erratic swings of pessimism and optimism and since majority of the stock market is comprised of such investors, he felt that the market as a whole takes on these characteristics. His advice was that while Mr.
March 2020 was one of the worst months for equity market. Indian indices witnessed massive sell-off in line with global equities sparked by the COVID-19 pandemic and potential economic damage amid lock-down worldwide. Large cap based index, Nifty 50 dropped by over 23% and broad-based index, Nifty 500 fell by a little over 24%. Mid cap and Small cap benchmarks vis., Nifty Midcap 100 index fell over 30% and Nifty Smallcap 100 index dropped by over 36%.
Back in my school days I used to mug up reams and reams of chemical formulas, not knowing if I would ever use them in the future. In the investing world those esoteric formulas, now seem rather meaningless. However, one concept that is still stuck in my head is that of an Isotope which I likely encountered in Class IX or X. The concept of ‘elements’ is the very foundation of Chemistry. An Isotope of an element is a similar atom with same number of protons but different neutrons.
